Researchers with the University of South Florida have released results from a statewide survey that measures attitudes and opinions regarding the 2020 presidential election and the current political climate. Key findings include:
Floridians see 2020 as a “very important” election. Almost 90% of Floridians surveyed say that 2020 will be “very important” when “compared to recent presidential elections.” This sentiment is equally shared by both Republicans and Democrats.
The presidential election is a significant source of stress and worry. Just over 80% agree that they are “worried about the outcome of the 2020 presidential election,” while 56% say that the election “is a considerable source of stress” for them. Republicans and Democrats report roughly equal levels of election-related stress.
The election is expected to have significant impacts. A plurality of respondents (45%) believe their household finances will be “significantly impacted by the outcome of the presidential election,” while nearly a two-thirds majority (64%) say the same about the coronavirus pandemic. Democrats are more likely than Republicans to believe that the outcome will affect the coronavirus pandemic, though majorities in both parties believe that it will (75% and 53%, respectively).
Big move toward absentee voting. A plurality of respondents (43%) indicated that they would vote “by mail-in or absentee ballot,” while one-third (34%) said they would vote “in person on Election Day.” (By way of comparison, according to Florida Secretary of State data, in 2016 only 28.7% of general election voters cast ballots by mail.) Others plan on voting “in person at an early-voting location” (23%). Based on the responses, Democrats are significantly more likely to vote by mail/absentee ballot and Republicans are significantly more likely to vote in person on Election Day.
Some small concerns over fairness. A majority of Floridians are at least “somewhat confident” (49%) that “the 2020 election will be conducted fairly,” though only 23% indicated that they are “very confident” of this, while just under a third (29%) were either “Not Very Confident” or “Not at All Confident.”
The survey of 600 Floridians was fielded Oct. 10-17, and the results are reported with a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error +/- 4.
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